Ely, Nevada 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

103
FXUS65 KLKN 100919
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
219 AM PDT Thu Jul 10 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 136 AM PDT Thu Jul 10 2025

* Warming trend Friday through Wednesday

* Near triple digit heat in the valleys of Northern and Central
  Nevada each afternoon Sunday through Wednesday

* Moderate risk for heat-related illnesses each afternoon Sunday
  through Wednesday

* Increasing chances of thunderstorm activity Tuesday

&&


.DISCUSSION...
(Today through next Thursday)
Issued at 136 AM PDT Thu Jul 10 2025

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: Shortwave energy over far Northeastern
Nevada in combination with a northwesterly surface pressure
gradient across Nevada is producing Northwesterly wind gusts of 15
to 25 mph over mainly the higher terrain of Humboldt and Elko
Counties. Winds will weaken the remainder of tonight and through
Thursday morning. High pressure centered just to the south of
Nevada will gradually build and expand northward up into Nevada
over the remainder of this week and into next week. Temperatures
will be near to slightly below normal today, with a warming trend
Friday on through the weekend. At this time not expecting record
warmth in the coming days, though with high temperatures ranging
from mid 90s to low 100s this weekend and into next week, there
will be a moderate risk of heat-related illnesses especially in
the lower elevation valley locations including Winnemucca and
Battle Mountain where some of the warmest temperatures are
expected. Weak instability develops Sunday afternoon with up to a
5% chance of thunderstorms. At this time no mention of TS in the
forecast, with increased afternoon cloud build-ups and continued
dry conditions the favored solution both Sunday and Monday
afternoons. Thunderstorm chances increase for Tuesday afternoon up
to around 15% as increasing instability combines with precipitable
water levels that will trend slightly higher. However, model
ensembles are still not in very good agreement on potential areas
for thunderstorm development Tuesday afternoon and evening.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: High confidence in dry
conditions through Saturday. Low confidence in any thunderstorm
development Sunday or Monday, though not a zero percent chance.
Increased chances of thunderstorms on Tuesday, though confidence
on the location or level of any thunderstorm activity remains low.
High confidence in temperatures trending warmer Friday on through
the weekend, along with high confidence in above normal
temperatures persisting Monday through at least Wednesday of next
week.

&&


.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)

VFR conditions forecast for all terminals thru Friday under
mostly clear skies. Much lighter winds this afternoon compared to
yesterday with sustained winds around 10KT or less. Breezes at
KENV look to diminish by late morning.

AMD NOT SKED at KELY due to malfunctioning VIS sensor.

&&


.FIRE WEATHER...

Winds will be considerably lighter Thursday across the region save
for extreme northern portions of zones 469/470 where northwesterly
winds of 10-15 mph with gusts near 25 mph exist until Thursday
evening thanks to lingering dynamics from a trough exiting the
Great Basin. High pressure builds into the region for the weekend
keeping wind speeds light into early next week. Afternoon RH
values above criteria in northern NV fire zones Thursday and
Friday will gradually dry out through the weekend as temperatures
soar into the 90s and triple digits by Sunday and into early next
week.

&&


.LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...96
AVIATION...92
FIRE WEATHER...99